Paulo Rebelo on “El reto Maldini” (“Maldini challenge”) November 2010 show

Interview in “El reto Maldini” (“Maldini challenge”) from the Spanish sports journalist Maldini in the 11th November 2010.

Video available also in the Interviews section of our website.

Maldini presents several shows on Spanish television, he writes in newspapers and he has a blog (visit his blog).

He has his own Youtube channel (visit channel) sponsored by Betfair, for which he made this video and invited me to participate.

Maldini is the most respected sports journalist in Spain!

With all the questions made to me after this video, I decided to draw up the following explanation:

Suggested Trade:

Before the game begins, bet on the draw at 7.0 (the odd available on Thursday).

By the minute 20, make lay on draw, at the current available odd (6.2).

What happened:

Look: this is the odd of the draw, just before the game starts. It has already dropped at 6.6.

And this is the odd of the draw 20 minutes after the game starts.

As I predicted, great descent. It even reached 5.8 but if we make a lay bet here at 6.20 we are certain that the bet is corresponded and we managed to win 13% in only 20 minutes of game.

Suggested bet:

By the 20 minutes of game and after closing position on the draw, bet on Barcelona’s victory at the current available odd, 1.32.

Keep this bet till the end of the game.

What happened:

On minute 21, one minute right after our bet, Barcelona scores the first goal!!!

And in the end Barça won the game for 3-1.

Yes. Who followed my advices won 45%.

13% with trading plus 32% with the bet.

Who only betted on Barcelona’s victory before the game started had 25% profit.

What if Barcelona scored before minute 20? And what if it was Villarreal the first to score?

If Barcelona scored a goal, the draw odd would rise and we would have to bet against the draw at a higher odd, consequently we would lose money.

But this is a risk I’m willing to take, giving the possible prize that my strategy can give, +45%.

This is what value bets mean. You have to understand if the prize you can get is worth the risk you have to take.

If Villarreal scored, we would win even more money because the draw odd would drop drastically.

Even though the result was 0-1, this isn’t a draw, when there is a goal from the weakest team in the first half the draw odd drops.